Here is my humble idea that might work for Red Bull that has merit for both drivers in that it keeps BOTH alive for Abu Dhabi – subject to a deal being made.
(this ignores the whole team orders are illegal arguments of course – this thread is about what Horner could do so the WDC does not blow up in their face. My theory however requires goodwill and trust between the drivers – not sure we have that!).
At the moment it is:
Alo –> 11pts Web –> 14pts Vet.
Vettel realistically is an excellent chance of winning Brazil and Abu Dhabi, but even that wont be enough if Alonso keeps picking up 3rd and a 4th. Problem is Vet winning screws Webbers chances etc as we all know. Vettel is hoping basically for a DNF from Alonso somewhere.
Turning to Brazil:
With all respect to Hulk’s efforts, lets assume late in the race its:
1. Vet
2. Web
3. Ham or Hulk
4. Alonso (or he is 3rd - doesn't matter)
It is so late in the race that Web would have to agree that Vet handing it over at that point is a total gift. Vet agrees to swap and let Web take the win. Webber takes 25 points, Vettel 18, Alonso 12. Web leads Alo by 2 going into the finale and Web leads Vet by 21 pts. Vet trails Alo by 19.
Abu Dhabi. Assume Red Bull dominance. Vet shades Web again and is leading the race. 2nd last lap we have:
1. Vet
2. Web
3. Alo
No need to change anything as Webber wins the WDC. Vettel wins the race and his handover to Web in Brazil did not hurt his WDC chance because Alo never DNF’ed in either race. Alternately, if it is Web leading on merit, then again it does not matter and Web wins title.
OK now, what if ALO does in fact DNF in Abu Dhabi?? Well the pre Brazil agreement means that Webber accepts the Brazil gift from Vet on the following basis:
1. Vettel had Brazil in the bag and handed it over.
2. Vettel has Abu Dhabi in the bag and its late in the race.
3. Had Vet NOT handed Brazil over, it would have been 2x RBR 1-2s and Vet would have ended up equal with Webber on points but have more race wins, to be WDC.
Therefore, based on the deal Web, running in second, agrees to park it (mysterious engine failure) and Vettel takes the crown – WHICH he would have done if he had been allowed to win Brazil and Abu Dhabi (because Alonso DNF’ed in Abu Dhabi)
Sorry about the long winded explanation, but using logic (not human emotion of the Webber/Vettel relationship, this strategy should work).
Thoughts?
