QUOTE (tkulla @ Jan 24 2010, 23:59)

Having low fuel qualifying in Q3 will finally give us good data about how well these guys qualify.
This is often said, but actually it's not true.
In the 'old days', drivers used to have a setup for quali and a different setup for the race. So quali was a very good indication of a driver's ultimate pace over one lap, everyone was going for the best quali setup they could find - if it destroyed the tyres inside a couple of laps, that was not a problem.
This year, it's my understanding that drivers will not be able to change their setup between quali and the race.
So everyone will be running a compromise setup, one which will allow their tyres to perform well in the race, but also get them as far up the grid as possible.
Some drivers will think it's most important to be on the front row, even if they may struggle in the race, others will think they need a good race setup, and hope that the cars in front of them will pit early and they can get by with less tyre stops. If the rules are tinkered with further, that will again change the calculation that drivers (and their engineers) will have to make.
My point is that we have not returned to the days when you could tell a driver's ultimate pace from his quali performance.