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zack1994
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Aug 9 2010, 16:18) *
Well, and at the end of the Gp who was faster?

It's not necessarry to be 25s ahead of somebody if 2s are enough, as long as there are no extra points for every second the leading one is quicker

but lewis said at the end of germany gp they were aloud to turn there engines up and fight it out
undersquare
QUOTE (zack1994 @ Aug 9 2010, 21:22) *
but lewis said at the end of germany gp they were aloud to turn there engines up and fight it out


It was a bit silly if you ask me, 3 laps, just made Jense go off.

Presumably it was to give Ferrari a helping shove down the hole they'd dug themselves lol.gif .
zack1994
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 9 2010, 20:32) *
It was a bit silly if you ask me, 3 laps, just made Jense go off.

Presumably it was to give Ferrari a helping shove down the hole they'd dug themselves lol.gif .

yeah a little bit silly but drivers want to compete to the end and do the best time
Yorkie
QUOTE (tkulla @ Aug 9 2010, 15:41) *
With the caveat that a couple of races for either one of these guys where they can show a significant advantage in pace would put them in the top position. For instance, if Button outpaces Hamilton at Spa and Monza and drives away from him in the race (not likely but possible) all of these "slight edge" victories for Lewis in this battle will be meaningless. Unless you score this battle like boxing (like many here do) without even rounds. A knockdown round should be worth much more than a round where one guy barely edges the other. Hungary would have been a bit of a knockdown had Lewis finished, but more because of Button's qualifying debacle than any big edge in race pace.

A good race for Jenson seems to be able to keep up with Lewis, a good race for Lewis is running several places in front of Jenson, why should anything change?

WitnessX
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Aug 9 2010, 18:18) *
Well, and at the end of the (german) Gp who was faster?

.....


Fastest laps - (personal best) both lap 65
JB 1.16.451
LH 1.16.503
Bonaventura
QUOTE (WitnessX @ Aug 10 2010, 06:54) *
Fastest laps - (personal best) both lap 65
JB 1.16.451
LH 1.16.503


average Speed
Lewis : 208,721
Button: 208,619

(Of course, the driver which finishes in front, has to be faster than the one behind wink.gif )
Rocket73
QUOTE (WheelBanger304 @ Aug 9 2010, 09:21) *
You make some good points here but unfortunately the ones I have bolded are typical of the assertions / insinuations of Jenson's fans which some find hard to take seriously given the evidence of what we have seen so far.

Lewis has been consistently quicker than Jenson pretty much throughout the season. On BOTH sets of tyres. If you don't agree with that statement of fact your eyes are clouded with fanboyism. There is no way you can explain what we have seen with (I'm paraphrasing): "they've been as quick as each other except for when the temperature was X, or the conditions were Y, and Jenson wasn't able to get his options working". Even the most ardent Jenson apologist, if he had a modicum of knowledge about the way the sport works, would not come up with that as an excuse. Because, if that were the case, it would be easy enough to look at the times and isolate those particular instances and demonstrate the untypical delta between the two drivers' times and correlate it to a particular set of conditions supporting your argument. Whereas any such analysis would simply underscore what we have all seen this season: that Button has been outpaced pretty much everywhere and on both sets of tyres. And even if your excuse were valid - and IMO it's not - it is Jenson's job to make the option tyres work. People can't have it both ways, praising Jenson for his tyre preservation skills and then throwing out his inability to make a particular tyre work as an excuse for lack of pace. It's all part of tyre management, and if what you're saying is correct then it seems that even in that area Lewis has the edge.

The only weekend I can remember when Lewis has not had the edge in pace has been at Hockenheim. In that case, there was an obvious exculpating factor (Lewis' crash in FP1 which caused him to miss virtually the whole of the first two practice sessions). However that crash was obviously Hamilton's fault, so his lack of pace that weekend as a whole I regard as his fault too. Even then Button was not sufficiently quicker in qualifying to ensure that he would be able to press home his advantage on race day and in fact in the race Hamilton managed to finish ahead of him thanks in part to Vettel's move on Alonso impeding Button at the start.

As a Hamilton fan who is happy to give credit where it is due to any other driver, I read "the only times this year that Lewis has been faster than Jenson has been when Jenson hasn't made the option tyre work" as a rather churlish attempt both to deny credit to Hamilton for his outstanding pace and to make an excuse for Button that is really quite unnecessary. Button has never been known to have grid-leading pace, whereas Hamilton has looked as quick as anyone out there right from his very first race. The only guy on the grid for whom those who know the sport well would expect the story of the season in terms of raw pace between Hamilton and Button to have been different is Alonso, and even in that case most of them would probably admit that the Spaniard would be the one trailing on most tracks, if by a smaller margin than Button.

The last few pages of this thread have been pretty amusing and reminded me of something I'd noticed before but never commented on: Jenson's fans tend to be more active between races, and particularly when - as now - there is a significant gap between races. That is when we get all the arcane speculation blaming Hamilton for the mechanic's wheel gun error that cost him 18 points at Barcelona, and implying his two DNFs this season mean he's a car breaker by comparison to Jenson, even though he has the best DNF avoidance record of anyone on the grid. But once the action starts unfolding before our eyes from Friday through Sunday, they have much less to say. I can't wait till Spa; I'll be watching intently to see whether what you're saying is true, and Lewis is only ever quicker when Jenson is having trouble making the options work. I have a funny feeling that during the course of that GP you'll either be backtracking from that statement or making out that Lewis has found a whole new burst of speed that has put paid to your earlier reservations!

In the meantime I expect the next three weeks to provide a feast of speculation that does anything but focus on the action we have seen on track. Because to be honest, we have witnessed a story of one teammate dominating the other so far. It can of course change, but that is what we have seen. Speculating about what Jenson might be able to do on Pirelli tyres next year, or that he would be outpacing Lewis if they were on Michelins is harmless fun, but essentially irrelevant. They are on the same Bridgestones; they have both had the same amount of time to adapt to them. Whoever does the better job with the equipment he has to hand is the better driver. End of. So let's discuss Michelins, Pirellis or whatever when the time comes.


Wrong. End of.

Let's look at one fact...

Lewis Hamilton 157
Jenson Button 147

So a little over halfway in a season where many said that LH would annihilate JB there is only a points difference of a 5th place or something. If it's sooo wrong to insinuate or imply that JB has some attributes which give him an advantage over LH how can he be so close in the championship?

I am sure you will write an essay in reply using lots of clever words and put downs to ridicule my post wheelbanger but at the end of the day it's only ten points difference so JB must have something going for him and we are quite within our rights to give suggestions on a forum as to what it is.

P.S and the pirelli thing is interesting as well....not worried are you??
undersquare
QUOTE (WitnessX @ Aug 10 2010, 07:54) *
Fastest laps - (personal best) both lap 65
JB 1.16.451
LH 1.16.503


Fastest lap, L65, great selection up.gif

I guess you're drawing a discreet veil over L66...

lol.gif
WitnessX
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 09:44) *
Fastest lap, L65, great selection up.gif

I guess you're drawing a discreet veil over L66...

lol.gif


Fastest race laps:

1 5 S. Vettel Red Bull 1:15.824 67
2 8 F. Alonso Ferrari 1:15.880 +0:00.056 +0:00.056 66
3 7 F. Massa Ferrari 1:16.097 +0:00.273 +0:00.217 66
4 1 J. Button McLaren 1:16.451 +0:00.627 +0:00.354 65
5 2 L. Hamilton McLaren 1:16.503 +0:00.679 +0:00.052 65

Did either go quicker on lap 66 ?
undersquare
QUOTE (WitnessX @ Aug 10 2010, 09:02) *
Fastest race laps:

1 5 S. Vettel Red Bull 1:15.824 67
2 8 F. Alonso Ferrari 1:15.880 +0:00.056 +0:00.056 66
3 7 F. Massa Ferrari 1:16.097 +0:00.273 +0:00.217 66
4 1 J. Button McLaren 1:16.451 +0:00.627 +0:00.354 65
5 2 L. Hamilton McLaren 1:16.503 +0:00.679 +0:00.052 65

Did either go quicker on lap 66 ?


One of them went quicker than the other on Lap 66...
Gareth
QUOTE (Rocket73 @ Aug 10 2010, 08:42) *
So a little over halfway in a season where many said that LH would annihilate JB there is only a points difference of a 5th place or something. If it's sooo wrong to insinuate or imply that JB has some attributes which give him an advantage over LH how can he be so close in the championship?

Because he has gained 30+ points from retirements. Factor those in an Hamilton would be nearly 2 race wins worth of points ahead. The attribute of "has been given the more reliable parts to date by his team" is the reason why the WDC remains so close.
trogggy
QUOTE (Gareth @ Aug 10 2010, 10:01) *
Because he has gained 30+ points from retirements. Factor those in an Hamilton would be nearly 2 race wins worth of points ahead. The attribute of "has been given the more reliable parts to date by his team" is the reason why the WDC remains so close.

Can we factor in a bit of luck for Lewis with penalties this year as well? biggrin.gif
Lazy
QUOTE (Gareth @ Aug 10 2010, 10:01) *
Because he has gained 30+ points from retirements. Factor those in an Hamilton would be nearly 2 race wins worth of points ahead. The attribute of "has been given the more reliable parts to date by his team" is the reason why the WDC remains so close.


Lol, you're not seriously subscribing to the "McLaren favours Jenson" conspiracy theory nonsense I hope. It's funny that the Lewis fans who keep telling us to look at the cold hard facts, keep coming up with fantasy stats to back up their position against the reality of the situation. If this, if that, and MW probably sabotaged Lewis' gearbox. smile.gif
Lazy
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:20) *
Can we factor in a bit of luck for Lewis with penalties this year as well? biggrin.gif

And maybe 18 pts gained by deliberately overtaking the safety car smile.gif
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:20) *
Can we factor in a bit of luck for Lewis with penalties this year as well? biggrin.gif


'fraid not tongue.gif

If you're thinking mainly of the tow-breaking weaving, you have to factor in that once Petrov made a move to actually pass, as opposed to follow, Lewis didn't move on him.
trogggy
QUOTE (Lazy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:24) *
And maybe 18 pts gained by deliberately overtaking the safety car smile.gif

Which is what I was mainly referring to.
Gareth's point is fair btw, Jenson is winning the reliable parts lottery so far.
undersquare
QUOTE (Lazy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:24) *
And maybe 18 pts gained by deliberately overtaking the safety car smile.gif


He did get a penalty...
trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 10:25) *
'fraid not tongue.gif

If you're thinking mainly of the tow-breaking weaving, you have to factor in that once Petrov made a move to actually pass, as opposed to follow, Lewis didn't move on him.

I'm not. Although what do you think would have happened if he'd done that in 2008?
trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 10:26) *
He did get a penalty...

And he was lucky that it took so long.
Is that so hard to accept? ohwell.gif
maverick69
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:28) *
And he was lucky that it took so long.
Is that so hard to accept? ohwell.gif


And Jenson, by his own admission, got lucky with some weather calls.

Now. Is that so hard to accept?
trogggy
QUOTE (maverick69 @ Aug 10 2010, 10:33) *
And Jenson, by his own admission, got lucky with some weather calls.

Now. Is that so hard to accept?

Quote please?

Obviously there was luck involved, as there is in every race.
bauss
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:28) *
And he was lucky that it took so long.
Is that so hard to accept? ohwell.gif

all the penalties take that "long"...
Lazy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 10:26) *
He did get a penalty...


True, but if he hadn't of overtaken the SC he would have been fighting Fred at the back and maybe overtaken by Kobayashi biggrin.gif

And then there is the getting pole position with illegal fuel levels incident.
Lazy
QUOTE (maverick69 @ Aug 10 2010, 10:33) *
And Jenson, by his own admission, got lucky with some weather calls.

Now. Is that so hard to accept?


Ok, so they have both had some luck, these things even out, so we can accept that the reality on the scoreboard is fair right?
trogggy
QUOTE (bauss @ Aug 10 2010, 10:37) *
all the penalties take that "long"...

No.
They don't.

That one (safety car) took as long as it did for several reasons - CW didn't refer it immediately because he was involved with the Webber incident... there were lots of other cars going too fast under the safety car (penalties after the race for some, remember)...there was confusion as towhether he'd passed illegaly because they didn't know where the GPS in the safety car was located...the stewards had to request pictures from the helicopter...and probably other reasons that I've forgotten.

Ask FA if that was a normal amount of time. ohwell.gif It was unusual, not exceptional, but understandable. And lucky for Lewis.
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:27) *
I'm not. Although what do you think would have happened if he'd done that in 2008?


Oh in 2008 the team would have been dq'd and charged under 151c unless Ron cleared off tongue.gif

That's why 2008 isn't exactly a good reference point.
trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 10:46) *
Oh in 2008 the team would have been dq'd and charged under 151c unless Ron cleared off tongue.gif

That's why 2008 isn't exactly a good reference point.

It isn't.
And, as I've said, It wasn't what I was thinking of. That's way down the list after the safety car pass and the pit-lane duel with sv. Either of those could have meant a big points loss on a different day.
He's had some good luck and some bad this year - I don't see why saying that creates such a fuss.
undersquare
QUOTE (Lazy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:37) *
True, but if he hadn't of overtaken the SC he would have been fighting Fred at the back and maybe overtaken by Kobayashi biggrin.gif

And then there is the getting pole position with illegal fuel levels incident.


Passing the SC was only half a second late, perfectly safe, and a good call. Although it took a while for the decision it's not that rare to take that long, France 08 for example took 13 laps IIRC, and if you look at the gaps he'd have been ahead any time after lap 20, he didn't need the whole time they actually took for it to pay off. Good call and speed in the car, not luck.

The qualy in Canada was a team cockup, that's all. And not against an actual rule at the time, just an obsolete memo.
trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 10:53) *
Passing the SC was only half a second late, perfectly safe, and a good call.

I give up.
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:51) *
It isn't.
And, as I've said, It wasn't what I was thinking of. That's way down the list after the safety car pass and the pit-lane duel with sv. Either of those could have meant a big points loss on a different day.
He's had some good luck and some bad this year - I don't see why saying that creates such a fuss.


It's not creating a fuss, you just keep claiming unreasonable stuff tongue.gif .

The SC pass got its due penalty. The pitlane duel was mainly Vettel; the exact same situation arose in Canada and since it was Alonso that time they gave each other room and it was a non-event. We heard Charlie was much more exercised about Sebi's behaviour than Lewis', quite rightly.
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:55) *
I give up.


Good call lol.gif
Gareth
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:20) *
Can we factor in a bit of luck for Lewis with penalties this year as well? biggrin.gif

Yup - massive slice of luck in Valencia.

QUOTE (Lazy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:21) *
Lol, you're not seriously subscribing to the "McLaren favours Jenson" conspiracy theory nonsense I hope. It's funny that the Lewis fans who keep telling us to look at the cold hard facts, keep coming up with fantasy stats to back up their position against the reality of the situation. If this, if that, and MW probably sabotaged Lewis' gearbox. smile.gif

No, I'm not subscribing to that theory. trogggy described it well as a lottery - ie it is random chance - but it is a lottery that Jenson has done better out of, to the tune of 30 odd points.

And this is hardly 'fantasy stats'. This is just a response to the suggestion that WDC points situation is the be all and end all and that 10 points is not all that much - it is simply putting that 10 point gap into some context.
Yorkie
QUOTE (WitnessX @ Aug 10 2010, 07:54) *
Fastest laps - (personal best) both lap 65
JB 1.16.451
LH 1.16.503

Wow there's a big difference there

QUOTE (Rocket73 @ Aug 10 2010, 08:42) *
Wrong. End of.

Let's look at one fact...

Lewis Hamilton 157
Jenson Button 147

So a little over halfway in a season where many said that LH would annihilate JB there is only a points difference of a 5th place or something. If it's sooo wrong to insinuate or imply that JB has some attributes which give him an advantage over LH how can he be so close in the championship?

I am sure you will write an essay in reply using lots of clever words and put downs to ridicule my post wheelbanger but at the end of the day it's only ten points difference so JB must have something going for him and we are quite within our rights to give suggestions on a forum as to what it is.

P.S and the pirelli thing is interesting as well....not worried are you??

Its close because of Lewis's two mechanical retirements

QUOTE (WitnessX @ Aug 10 2010, 09:02) *
Fastest race laps:

1 5 S. Vettel Red Bull 1:15.824 67
2 8 F. Alonso Ferrari 1:15.880 +0:00.056 +0:00.056 66
3 7 F. Massa Ferrari 1:16.097 +0:00.273 +0:00.217 66
4 1 J. Button McLaren 1:16.451 +0:00.627 +0:00.354 65
5 2 L. Hamilton McLaren 1:16.503 +0:00.679 +0:00.052 65

Did either go quicker on lap 66 ?

No but Jenson went off the track, in a racing situation thats game set and match to Lewis given that Jenson basically could go no quicker than him, also Lewis wasnt happy with the car after missing most of practice, when Jenson isnt happy with the car he's nowhere near to Lewis

QUOTE (Lazy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:24) *
And maybe 18 pts gained by deliberately overtaking the safety car smile.gif

Its sad when you have to use SC's to equalise the race for Jenson
trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 11:00) *
Good call lol.gif


Laugh all you want.

You're not able to accept that Lewis had a slice of luck in Valencia?
I don't see any chance of a reasonable discussion.
robefc
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:26) *
Which is what I was mainly referring to.
Gareth's point is fair btw, Jenson is winning the reliable parts lottery so far.


I don't think that valencia is a good example of lewis being lucky versus jenson if you consider that the SC came out at the best possible place for jenson above all other drivers and he gained places he most likely would not have made up without the SC's intervention.
Hamilton was extremely unlucky with where it came out, as were alonso and even more so massa. However, hamilton then got very lucky that the penalty did not cost him anytime.
Luck neutral versus jenson if you ask me, in fact lewis kept the same place and jenson gained places thanks to the SC.

It's only versus alonso (and less relevantly massa) that lewis was lucky, but then so was vettel.

China might be a better example, although lewis also had a lot of work to do after the SC closed the gap for him.

There's been luck involved for both in the races, discounting reliability, more for button generally in my view because he's been further back in more races and therefore in a position to benefit from other's misfortune more often...but it's not something that affects my view of how either have driven.

The mechanical failures are a different kettle of fish completely imo and, as I've said before, a 40 points gap would more fairly reflect their relative performances, closer than 10-2 suggests but wider than 10 points suggest.

I don't understand why, in a thread comparing driver's performance (i.e attempting to isolate the driver's contribution versus that of the car etc) the points table is continually pointed to as the be all and end all. Although I can appreciate Rhinehart and others being frustrated that 10-2 is used in the same way.
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 11:18) *
drunk.gif
Laugh all you want.

You're not able to accept that Lewis had a slice of luck in Valencia?
I don't see any chance of a reasonable discussion.


It wasn't luck. It was good judgment plus pace. As I've explained; we could have a reasonable discussion if you'd deal with the specifics.

For example, I've looked at the gaps in the past and seen that from Lap 20 he'd have been ahead by passing the SC and taking the drive-though. So I've mentioned that, and you've just ignored it in favour of making a global rejection "I give up".

So give us your specific arguments about how it was lucky, or stick with the giving up...
trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 11:26) *
It wasn't luck. It was good judgment plus pace. As I've explained; we could have a reasonable discussion if you'd deal with the specifics.

For example, I've looked at the gaps in the past and seen that from Lap 20 he'd have been ahead by passing the SC and taking the drive-though. So I've mentioned that, and you've just ignored it in favour of making a global rejection "I give up".

So give us your specific arguments about how it was lucky, or stick with the giving up...

No, I'll stick with giving up.

I seem to recall you posting in the past that you won't say anything negative about LH because it'll be picked up by others ('Even u/square says...').
Apologies if I'm confusing you with somebody else.

Edit: Presumably Lewis knew what the penalty for passing the safety car would be...
Sure.
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 11:29) *
No, I'll stick with giving up.

I seem to recall you posting in the past that you won't say anything negative about LH because it'll be picked up by others ('Even u/square says...').
Apologies if I'm confusing you with somebody else.

Edit: Presumably Lewis knew what the penalty for passing the safety car would be...
Sure.


Well give up then ffs, instead of talking about me.

Or for some reason start on about what Lewis knew...
bauss
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:42) *
No.
They don't.

That one (safety car) took as long as it did for several reasons - CW didn't refer it immediately because he was involved with the Webber incident... there were lots of other cars going too fast under the safety car (penalties after the race for some, remember)...there was confusion as towhether he'd passed illegaly because they didn't know where the GPS in the safety car was located...the stewards had to request pictures from the helicopter...and probably other reasons that I've forgotten.

Ask FA if that was a normal amount of time. ohwell.gif It was unusual, not exceptional, but understandable. And lucky for Lewis.



yes they do, someone made a list of past penalties and how long its taken to penalize... n the Valencia time wasnt any major outlier...

Even in the last race, where the Vettel penalty looked immediately obvious... it took about 14 laps btw the time of the crime n the drive through.


Where Lewis was 'lucky' was that Kob. was holding everybody up and Jenson didnt have a go at him....

though, without the safety car, it would have being a similar result to Hungary for Jens while Lewis would have still being 2nd or 3rd... so it can be argued that Jens was actually more lucky...

I generally dont like to go into all those details...except the most obvious lucky/bad luck situations like car reliability which have cost Lewis major points so far.

If Jenson is as close to Lewis in performance as some are insinuating, he'd be ahead of Lewis in the points table right now.

trogggy
QUOTE (undersquare @ Aug 10 2010, 11:43) *
Well give up then ffs, instead of talking about me.

Or for some reason start on about what Lewis knew...

Sure, it was a great call.
Lewis calculated, while going down the straight, that he could hold up Alonso, pass the safety car, take his penalty (he obviously knew that the pictures wouldn't be immediately available, knew that half the field would be under investigation, knew that Charlie didn't know where the GPS was, knew what the penalty would be and could work out in his head how long it would take the stewards to impose the penalty).
The only gamble was that he was only 99.9% sure KK was going to stay out on his hards and hold JB up, but hey, he's a risk-taker.
All the above proves that he is in fact much cleverer than JB, so we can tick 'strategy' off as another Lewis strength.

Am I mistaken, or was it you who said you'd never criticize LH? I'd say that was relevant.

bauss
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 12:16) *
Sure, it was a great call.
Lewis calculated, while going down the straight, that he could hold up Alonso, pass the safety car, take his penalty (he obviously knew that the pictures wouldn't be immediately available, knew that half the field would be under investigation, knew that Charlie didn't know where the GPS was, knew what the penalty would be and could work out in his head how long it would take the stewards to impose the penalty).
The only gamble was that he was only 99.9% sure KK was going to stay out on his hards and hold JB up, but hey, he's a risk-taker.
All the above proves that he is in fact much cleverer than JB, so we can tick 'strategy' off as another Lewis strength.

Am I mistaken, or was it you who said you'd never criticize LH? I'd say that was relevant.


all that strawman stuff down.gif down.gif down.gif
trogggy
QUOTE (bauss @ Aug 10 2010, 12:19) *
all that strawman stuff down.gif down.gif down.gif

Well argued. up.gif
Bonaventura
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 10:18) *
Laugh all you want.

You're not able to accept that Lewis had a slice of luck in Valencia?
I don't see any chance of a reasonable discussion.

Button not, with his usually sitting duck strategy?
trogggy
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Aug 10 2010, 12:23) *
Button not, with his usually sitting duck strategy?

confused.gif
Bonaventura
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 11:23) *
confused.gif

Didn't Button benefit from SC and strategy while trundling around?
trogggy
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Aug 10 2010, 12:29) *
Didn't Button benefit from SC and strategy while trundling around?

Yes.
Of course he benefitted from the safety car.
Strategy? Not sure what you mean.
Gareth
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 12:16) *
Sure, it was a great call.
Lewis calculated, while going down the straight, that he could hold up Alonso, pass the safety car, take his penalty (he obviously knew that the pictures wouldn't be immediately available, knew that half the field would be under investigation, knew that Charlie didn't know where the GPS was, knew what the penalty would be and could work out in his head how long it would take the stewards to impose the penalty).
The only gamble was that he was only 99.9% sure KK was going to stay out on his hards and hold JB up, but hey, he's a risk-taker.
All the above proves that he is in fact much cleverer than JB, so we can tick 'strategy' off as another Lewis strength.

Am I mistaken, or was it you who said you'd never criticize LH? I'd say that was relevant.

up.gif

For that "call" to work out at minimum neutrally for Hamilton, it would have required:

1. if it were a drive through, a minimum of 7 laps from offence to penalty issued (rather than served);

2. if it were a stop go, a minimum of 13 laps from offence to penalty issued.

All of this with Kobayashi holding up the pack, something Hamilton could not have been sure of at the time.

To conclude this was a good 'decision' (rather than lucky mistake) you have to think that Hamilton knew:

1. that Kobayashi would stay out;

2. that the worst penalty he would get would be a drive through or stop go; and

3. that it would take at least 7 to 13 laps to decide on the penalty.

I see no way whatsoever that anyone could confidently have predicted those things.
undersquare
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 12:16) *
Sure, it was a great call.
Lewis calculated, while going down the straight, that he could hold up Alonso, pass the safety car, take his penalty (he obviously knew that the pictures wouldn't be immediately available, knew that half the field would be under investigation, knew that Charlie didn't know where the GPS was, knew what the penalty would be and could work out in his head how long it would take the stewards to impose the penalty).
The only gamble was that he was only 99.9% sure KK was going to stay out on his hards and hold JB up, but hey, he's a risk-taker.
All the above proves that he is in fact much cleverer than JB, so we can tick 'strategy' off as another Lewis strength.

Am I mistaken, or was it you who said you'd never criticize LH? I'd say that was relevant.


Never mind about my motivation, it's not relevant, just still trying to dodge the specifics wink.gif .

All Lewis needed to know was the laptime of the safety car, the laptime he could do on his delta, and the cost of a drive-thru. Roughly.

Par was to come out ahead of Alonso, any further forward was a gain.
as65p
QUOTE (trogggy @ Aug 10 2010, 13:31) *
Yes.
Of course he benefitted from the safety car.
Strategy? Not sure what you mean.


But you desribed it yourself above: the brilliant strategy to overtake the SC and not only get away with it, but in fact benefit. Button couldn't do that, he's so weak down.gif .


wink.gif
as65p
QUOTE (Gareth @ Aug 10 2010, 13:34) *
I see no way whatsoever that anyone could confidently have predicted those things.


No sane person would. wink.gif
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