QUOTE (jjcale @ Mar 1 2010, 13:36)

The consensus out in Barca is that the Ferrari is fastest. I didnt see it myself. I think Redbull looked better.
Do you guys know why the Ferrari is so fast? Its got no fancy aero like the Macca and it is not bolted to the track like the Redbull. It just seems like a solid car - but it is really quick. On the track it looks no better than, say, the Renault ... but the stopwatch does not lie.
All the top 4 teams looked good. Being testing and all, there's no way to say anything other than 'its close' at this point.
All their times could be interpreted in different ways by quoting all the different unknown variables. If 'Team A' looked a few tenths quicker during testing than 'Team B', it could very well turn out that 'Team B' still shows up at the first race, takes pole position by a quarter of a second and wins the race. Some variable along the way was obviously skewing our perceptions of the testing times, leading us to false conclusions. Red Bull is a prime example - nobody expected them to have such a good package last year. Some people were reluctant to even stick them in the top 5 teams. Thats how much things can be 'twisted' by the nature of testing.
As for why the Ferrari is fast.......well.........its hard to say right now. Seeing some sector times and how its behaving during practice will give some indication of where its strengths and weaknesses lie. Ferrari's in the recent past have historically had great aero, but only 'good' mechanical grip. And these Ferrari's rarely had any 'fancy aero' or anything. Seems to me that Ferrari's aerodynamics department is pretty competent with creating very efficient designs without necessarily 'rocking the boat'(apart from a few things like the flexi floor scandal and whatnot).
But I'll be interested in seeing if the mechanical grip is good. The car was very quick at Valencia in the first test, which is more of a mech grip track than an aero one. And I know its daft to brag about last year's car, but I think it had fairly good mechanical grip relative to some other teams. It went
very well at Monaco after all. I think maybe now that they've got an aero package to really bring out that mech grip already in the car, they've really found something solid.
But its still early days. Just as I was saying earlier, times can be misleading, and Ferrari may not even be as quick as we expect. I've always gotta be prepared for that sort of thing, cuz it *can* happen. Things will be much clearer after the first race(but not 100%), and there'll no doubt be a ton of interesting things to talk about, so I'm really looking forward til then. Right now, there's too much guessing going around, and its not fun for me. I think the season will be exciting, even if there's rarely a pass in every race,
just cuz of the driver pairings/assumed competitiveness of the top teams. But thats all I'm getting excited for. I'm not going to get carried away thinking Ferrari is in awesome shape, and I most definitely respect the competition and their ability. I'm equally fearful of Mercedes, Mclaren AND Red Bull. Each of them have the potential to do something special, and each of them have drivers that can get the job done. Basically, I'm assuming a 30-35% chance of Ferrari being the best. 25% would probably be more rational, but I'm trying to make an effort to not be so boring!